Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000147 0.000161 0.000177 0.000195 0.000216 0.000238 0.000264
2025-10-26 0.000118 0.000140 0.000165 0.000196 0.000234 0.000280 0.000338
2025-11-02 0.000100 0.000124 0.000154 0.000194 0.000246 0.000311 0.000402
2025-11-09 0.000087 0.000113 0.000147 0.000193 0.000257 0.000343 0.000469
2025-11-16 0.000077 0.000104 0.000139 0.000190 0.000264 0.000367 0.000527
2025-11-23 0.000069 0.000095 0.000131 0.000186 0.000267 0.000386 0.000579
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000091 0.000129 0.000188 0.000280 0.000421 0.000659
2025-12-07 0.000060 0.000088 0.000128 0.000192 0.000295 0.000459 0.000750
2025-12-14 0.000055 0.000082 0.000122 0.000188 0.000298 0.000478 0.000809
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000076 0.000115 0.000181 0.000294 0.000485 0.000850
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000073 0.000113 0.000182 0.000303 0.000515 0.000936
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000070 0.000111 0.000183 0.000314 0.000549 0.001032
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000067 0.000108 0.000182 0.000319 0.000575 0.001120
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000064 0.000106 0.000183 0.000331 0.000615 0.001244
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000061 0.000102 0.000181 0.000335 0.000641 0.001344
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000059 0.000100 0.000181 0.000343 0.000674 0.001466
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000178 0.000345 0.000697 0.001567
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000053 0.000092 0.000173 0.000344 0.000711 0.001650
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000051 0.000092 0.000176 0.000357 0.000761 0.001830
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000179 0.000373 0.000817 0.002038
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000176 0.000373 0.000836 0.002150
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000169 0.000365 0.000836 0.002207
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000170 0.000374 0.000878 0.002399